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The D&D Daily's Publicly Reported
Q2 & Mid-Year 2020 ORC Report


 COVID Drives ORC Cases, Dollar Amount & Suspects Down

ORC Cases Drop 26% Over 2019 - Q2 2020 Hits New Low
Average Dollar Amount Down 28%



 



Mid-Year ORC Case Comparison

Down 26% Since '19 - 2nd Lowest On Record

 

Q2 ORC Case Comparison
Down 35% Since '19 - Lowest On Record


 



Mid-Year ORC Cases by Total & Average Dollar Amount
 

Year $ Amount Reported Average $ Amount
2014 $552,924,441 (Pre-EMV roll-out) $295,271
2015 $403,680,331 (Pre-EMV roll-out) $105,611
2016 $438,219,571 $50,091
2017 $213,775,372 $64,565
2018 $109,146,135 $86,392
2019 $101,238,967 $122,713
2020 $53,912,775 $88,672


77
% increase since 2016 - 28% decrease since 2019
Average Case Values: Ranged from a low of $50,091 (2016) to a high of $295,271 (2014).
2016 to present represents post-EMV

Special note: 2014 and 2015 amounts reflect the pre-EMV roll-out and a larger amount of big counterfeit credit card cases.

The following high-dollar counterfeit credit card cases where excluded in the average calculations:
Two $200M cc fraud cases on May 14 & June 20, 2014
One $325M counterfeit case on Jan. 16, 2015
Two $200M cc fraud cases on Jan. 8 & May 9, 2016
One $170M cc fraud case on April 19, 2017
One $51M cc fraud case on May 23, 2018
 



Mid-Year ORC Cases By Type
Theft/Shoplifting Top Method Five Years Running

 
 

Mid-Year 2020
• 62% Theft/Shoplifting
26% Robbery
• 6% Employee theft

Mid-Year 2019
• 70% Theft/Shoplifting
12% Robbery/Burglary
7% Employee theft

Mid-Year 2018
64% Theft/Shoplifting
13% Robbery/Burglary
8% Employee theft

Full Year 2017*
67% Theft/Shoplifting
11% Robbery/Burglary
• 6% Employee theft

Mid-Year 2016
62% Theft/Shoplifting
10% Credit Card Fraud
6% Robbery/Burglary


*Other includes fraud, counterfeit and fencing
 



Mid-Year ORC Cases by Merchandise Stolen
Electronics & Clothing Most Targeted Four Years Running

Mid-Year 2020
Electronics (29%)
Clothing (18%)
• Tools (15%)
Mid-Year 2019
Electronics (22.5%)
Clothing (20.5%)
• Tools (13%)
Mid-Year 2018
Electronics (31.5%)
Clothing (26.5%)
Tools (14.5%)
Full Year 2017*
Electronics (30%)
Clothing (16%)
Jewelry (15%)


*The Daily started tracking merchandise in May 2017
 



Mid-Year ORC Suspect Comparison
Fewest Suspects Reported Since 2017

 

Mid-Year Suspects Male Female Unreported % Male % Female
2014 1,355 846 493 16 63% 37%
2015 1,719 952 530 237 64% 36%
2016 1,666 864 501 301 63% 37%
2017 1,358 602 419 337 59% 41%
2018 1,598 841 511 246 62% 38%
2019 1,712 842 509 361 62% 38%
2020 1,384 946 429 9 69% 31%

 



Mid-Year ORC Cases by State
California, Florida & New York Top States

Top States Mid-Year 2020
1. California (76)
2. Florida & New York (51)
3. Pennsylvania (44)
4. Illinois (38)
5. Ohio (32)

Top States Mid-Year 2019
1. California (80)
2. Florida (77)
3. Pennsylvania (74)
4. Texas & Illinois (39)
5. Georgia (37)

Top States Mid-Year 2018
1. California (74)
2. Florida (64)
3. Pennsylvania (51)
4. Illinois (45)
5. New York (40)

Top States in 2017
1. California (88)
2. Florida (82)
3. Pennsylvania (68)
4. Texas (59)
5. Illinois (54)

 

Top States in 2016
1. Florida (116)
2. California (112)
3. Pennsylvania (111)
4. Texas (96)
5. New York (88)

 



Mid-Year ORC Cases by City

NYC Top City By Far in 1st Half of 2020


Mid-Year 2020

1. New York City (19)
2. Chicago, Miami, Scottsdale, AZ, Macon, GA (5)
3. Baton Rouge, LA; Manteca, CA; Toledo, OH; Santa Clarita, CA; Lexington, KY (4)
4. Cleveland, OH; Houston, TX; Joliet, IL; Knox County; Lincoln, NE; Ocala, FL, (3)


Mid-Year 2019

1. Millburn, NJ (9)
2. Chicago, IL (6)
2. Philadelphia, PA (6)
2. Fresno, CA (6)
2. Macon, GA (6)

Mid-Year 2018
1. Tallahassee, FL (8)
2. Houston, TX & Oklahoma City, OK (7)
3. Memphis, TN & Chicago, IL (6)
4. Charlotte, NC, Detroit, MI & Lexington, KY (5)
5. Seattle, WA, Pittsburg, PA & Los Angeles, CA (4)

Full Year 2017
1. Houston, TX & Millburn, NJ (9)
2. Memphis, TN & Columbus, OH (8)
3. Louisville, KY & Lexington, KY (7)
4. Polk County, FL (6)
5. Oklahoma City, OK (6)


*The Daily started tracking city data in May 2017

 


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Methodology: The Daily collects this retail store specific information from public news media sources throughout the United States and reports it daily in our Organized Retail Crime column. We do not survey any retailers or third parties nor collect information from any retail executive. All of this information is available through public news media outlets. We do not claim nor does it represent all such incidents or deaths that may occur in retail locations or retail corporate facilities as many may not be reported in the news media depending on a number of variables outside of our control. We are not responsible for the accuracy of the information reported in the various news media outlets. We do not name any retailer, retail executive, suspect, or victim.

Copyright: We reserve the rights to this industry exclusive report and do not authorize its republication or reproduction without written consent which may include a fee. By re-publishing or reproducing this report or any parts of it without authorization the party agrees to pay a fee determined by the D&D Daily.


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