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The D&D Daily's Exclusive - Publicly Reported
Q4 & 2019 ORC Report


ORC Cases Up 33% Over 5 Years - Flat Since 2018
Average Dollar Amount Doubled Since '16 - Up
37% Since '18
Most Suspects Ever Recorded - Male or Female


Yearly ORC Case Comparison - Down 1% Over '18

Q4 ORC Case Comparison - Down 17% Over '18


Latest NRF ORC Study Highlights Similar Trends
Two-Thirds of Retailers See Increase in Organized Thefts

"Organized retail crime continues to present a serious challenge to the retail industry," NRF Vice President of Loss Prevention Bob Moraca said.

The report found that
97 percent of retailers had been victimized by ORC in the past year and that 68 percent had seen an increase in ORC activity. Losses averaged $703,320 per $1 billion in sales, marking the fourth year in a row that the figure topped the $700,000 mark.

Nearly two-thirds (65 percent) of retailers said ORC is a higher priority for their companies than five years ago, while 56 percent were allocating additional technology resources to the issue and 44 percent were increasing their loss prevention budgets.

The top five cities for ORC in the past year in order were Los Angeles, New York, Houston, Chicago and Miami, with a number of ties rounding out the top 10.  nrf.com

 



ORC Cases by Total & Average Dollar Amount

Year # of Cases $ Amount Reported $ Average Per Case
2014 1,200 $681,802,614 $194,002
2015 1,480 $515,088,741 $112,222
2016 1,590 $514,285,830 $71,877
2017 1,390  $389,445,396 $97,658
2018  1,607 $165,493,452 $102,982
2019 1,590 $248,763,877 $141,360


Average case value nearly doubled since 2016, 37% increase since 2018
Average case values: Ranged from a low of $71,877 to a high of $194,002.
2016 to present represents post-EMV

Special note: 2014 and 2015 amounts reflect the pre-EMV roll-out and a larger amount of big counterfeit credit card cases.

The following high-dollar counterfeit credit card cases were excluded in the average calculations:
Two $200M cc fraud cases on May 14 & June 20, 2014
One $325M counterfeit case on Jan. 16, 2015
Two $200M cc fraud cases on Jan. 8 & May 9, 2016
One $170M cc fraud case on April 19, 2017
One $51M cc fraud case on May 23, 2018
One $30M cc fraud case on Sept. 26, 2014
One $24M cc/gift card fraud case on July 11, 2019

 



ORC Cases By Type

 
 
2019 Cases:
1. Theft/Shoplift - 70.5%
2. Robbery/Burg. - 13.5%
3. Emp. Theft - 6%
 
2018 Cases:
1. Theft/Shoplift - 66%
2. Robbery/Burg. - 12%
3. Emp. Theft - 8%
 
2017 Cases:
1. Theft/Shoplift - 67%
2. Robbery/Burg. - 11%
3. Emp. Theft - 6%
 
2016 Cases:
1. Theft/Shoplift - 67%
2. Other - 11%
3. CC Fraud - 8%
 


ORC Cases by Merchandise Stolen


2019
• Clothing (23%)
• Electronics (22%)
• Tools (12%)
2018
1. Clothing (30%)
2. Electronics (27%)
3. Tools (14%)
2017*
1. Electronics (30%)
2. Clothing (16%)
3. Jewelry (15%)

*The Daily started tracking merchandise in May 2017

**Other includes eyewear, baby formula/diapers, detergent, groceries, gift cards, lottery, gas, hobby, coins, cash, razors & n/a

 


ORC Suspect Comparison

Year Suspects Male Female Unreported % Male % Female
2014 3,235 1,764 1,048 423 63% 37%
2015 3,528 1,843 1,097 588 63% 37%
2016 3,682 1,687 1,006 989 63% 37%
2017  3,225 1,319 901 1,005 59%  41%
2018 3,420 1,701 1,142 577 60% 40%
2019 3,710 2,018 1,188 504 63% 37%

Most suspects - male or female - ever recorded in publicly reported data.
 



ORC Cases by State & City

Top States - 2019
1. California (189)
2. Florida (145)
3. Pennsylvania (109)
4. Texas (91)
5. Illinois (90)

Top States - 2018
1. California (161)
2. Florida (142)
3. Pennsylvania (116)
4. Illinois (100)
5. Texas (78)

Top States - 2017
1. California (88)
2. Florida (82)
3. Pennsylvania (68)
4. Texas (59)
5. Illinois (54)

Top States - 2016
1. Florida (116)
2. California (112)
3. Pennsylvania (111)
4. Texas (96)
5. New York (88)


Top Cities - 2019
Millburn, NJ (20)
Chicago, IL (17)
Laredo, TX (12)
Houston, TX (11)
Miami, FL & Fresno, CA (10)

Top Cities - 2018
1. Memphis, TN & Tallahassee, FL (14)
2. Detroit, MI & Oklahoma City, OK (13)
3. Houston, TX (12)
4. Chicago, IL (10)
5. Lexington, KY & Albuquerque, NM (9)

Top Cities - 2017*
1. Houston, TX & Milburn, NJ (9)
2. Memphis, TN & Columbus, OH (8)
3. Louisville, KY & Lexington, KY (7)
4. Polk County, FL (6)
5. Oklahoma City, OK (6)


*The Daily started tracking city data in May 2017
 
 

Auror
Sponsor of the D&D Daily’s ORC News Column

Thanks, Auror, for making this column and this report possible.
Hey LP and AP Execs - Thank Auror!
 



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Methodology:
The Daily collects this retail store specific information from public news media sources throughout the United States and reports it daily in our Organized Retail Crime column. We do not survey any retailers or third parties nor collect information from any retail executive. All of this information is available through public news media outlets. We do not claim nor does it represent all such incidents or deaths that may occur in retail locations or retail corporate facilities as many may not be reported in the news media depending on a number of variables outside of our control. We are not responsible for the acccuracy of the information reported in the various news media outlets. We do not name any retailer, retail executive, suspect, or victim.

Copyright: We reserve the rights to this industry exclusive report and do not authorize its republication or reproduction without written consent which may include a fee. By re-publishing or reproducing this report or any parts of it without authorization the party agrees to pay a fee determined by the D&D Daily.