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The D&D Daily's Publicly Reported
Q3 2019 ORC Report


 
Year-To-Date ORC Cases Up 5% Since '18
Average Q3 Dollar Amount Up 36% Since '16 - Down
12% Since '18
Most Q3 Suspects Ever Recorded


Year-to-Date (Q1-Q3) ORC Case Comparison - Up 5% Over '18

Q3 ORC Case Comparison - Down 3% Over '18


 



Q3 ORC Cases by Total & Average Dollar Amount
 

Year (Q3) $ Amount Reported Average $ Amount
2014 $102,678,607 (Pre-EMV roll-out) $218,254
2015 $56,272,683 (Pre-EMV roll-out) $162,169
2016 $26,731,252 $60,615
2017 $52,156,035 $156,155
2018 $38,147,479 $93,270
2019 $56,469,071 $82,200


36% increase in average case value since Q3 2016
Overall amount reported up 48% since Q3 2018
Average Case Values: Ranged from $60,615 to a high of $218,254.
2016 to present represents post-EMV

Special note: 2014 and 2015 amounts reflect the pre-EMV roll-out and a larger amount of big counterfeit credit card cases.

The following high-dollar counterfeit credit card cases were excluded in the average calculations:
One $30M cc fraud case on Sept. 26, 2014
One $24M cc/gift card fraud case on July 11, 2019

 



ORC Cases By Type

 
 
Q3 2016
71% Theft/Shoplifting
6% Credit Card Fraud
• 5% Robbery/Burglary
Full Year 2017*
67% Theft/Shoplifting
11% Robbery/Burglary
• 6% Employee theft
Q3 2018
64% Theft/Shoplifting
11% Robbery/Burglary
9% Employee theft
Q3 2019
69% Theft/Shoplifting
16% Robbery/Burglary
• 5% Credit Card Fraud

*Quarterly breakdown not available for 2017
 



ORC Cases by Merchandise Stolen


Full Year 2017*
Electronics (30%)
Clothing (16%)
Jewelry (15%)
Q3 2018
Clothing (32%)
Electronics (21%)
Tools (16%)
Q3 2019
Clothing (21%)
Electronics (20%)
• Tools (12%)

*Quarterly breakdown not available for 2017
**Other includes eyewear, baby formula, grocery, gift cards, lottery, gas, books, razors & n/a


 


Q3 ORC Suspect Comparison
 

Q3 Suspects Male Female Unreported % Male % Female
2014 859 477 296 86 62% 38%
2015 845 417 258 170 62% 38%
2016 918 464 280 174 62% 38%
2017 755 351 226 178 61% 39%
2018 889 415 317 157 57% 43%
2019 986 572 321 93 64% 36%

Most suspects - male or female - ever recorded in publicly reported Q3 data.
 



ORC Cases by State & City

Top States in 2017*
1. California (88)
2. Florida (82)
3. Pennsylvania (68)
4. Texas (59)
5. Illinois (54)

 
Top States Q3 2018
1. California (48)
2. Florida (45)
3. Texas (30)
4. Pennsylvania (27)
5. Illinois (21)
 
Top States Q3 2019
1. California (55)
2. Florida (44)
3. Texas (26)
4. Illinois (24)
5. Pennsylvania & Georgia (18)
 
Top Cities in 2017*
Houston, TX & Milburn, NJ (9)
Memphis, TN & Columbus, OH (8)
Louisville, KY & Lexington, KY (7)
Polk County, FL (6)
Oklahoma City, OK (6)
Top Cities Q3 2018
Detroit, MI (6)
Polk County, FL (5)
Miami, FL (4)
San Antonio, TX (4)
Pasco County, FL; Cape Coral, FL; Fresno, CA (3)
Top Cities Q3 2019
Houston, TX (5)
Miami, FL (5)
Chicago, IL (5)
Madison, WI (5)
Oklahoma City, OK (4)

*Quarterly city & state breakdown not available for 2017
 


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Methodology: The Daily collects this retail store specific information from public news media sources throughout the United States and reports it daily in our Organized Retail Crime column. We do not survey any retailers or third parties nor collect information from any retail executive. All of this information is available through public news media outlets. We do not claim nor does it represent all such incidents or deaths that may occur in retail locations or retail corporate facilities as many may not be reported in the news media depending on a number of variables outside of our control. We are not responsible for the acccuracy of the information reported in the various news media outlets. We do not name any retailer, retail executive, suspect, or victim.

Copyright: We reserve the rights to this industry exclusive report and do not authorize its republication or reproduction without written consent which may include a fee. By re-publishing or reproducing this report or any parts of it without authorization the party agrees to pay a fee determined by the D&D Daily.


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