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The D&D Daily's Publicly Reported
Q1 2019 ORC Report

  Most ORC Cases Ever Recorded in Q1 - 76% Increase Since 2014
 Average Dollar Amount Up 150% Since '16, Down 37% From '18
 


Quarterly ORC Case Comparison - Up 14% Over '18


 


ORC Cases by Total & Average Dollar Amount
 

Q1 $ Amount Reported $ Average Per Case
2014 $116,392,986 $152,624
2015 $380,464,168 $140,415
2016 $208,051,138 $21,878
2017 $32,912,889 $93,768
2018 $32,829,145 $86,392
2019  $23,655,937 $54,759


• 150% increase since 2016, but 37% decrease since 2018
 • Average Case Values: Ranged from a low of $21,878 to a high of $152,624.
• 2016 to present represents post-EMV

Special note: 2014 and 2015 amounts reflect the pre-EMV roll-out and a larger amount of big counterfeit credit card cases.

The following high-dollar counterfeit credit card cases were excluded in the average calculations:
• One $325M counterfeit case on Jan. 16, 2015
 • One $200M cc fraud cases on Jan. 8, 2016
 


ORC Cases By Type

 
Q1 '19 by Type:
1. Theft/Shoplifting - 70%
2. Robbery/Burglary - 10%
3. Employee Theft - 9%		 Q1 '18 by Type:
1. Theft/Shoplifting - 69%
2. Employee Theft - 12%
3. Robbery/Burglary - 7%		 Q1 '17 by Type:
1. Theft/Shoplifting - 69%
2. Robbery/Burglary - 9%
3. Employee Theft - 7%		 Q1 '16 by Type:
1. Theft/Shoplifting - 59%
2. CC Fraud - 11%
3. Other - 7%


*Other includes: EBT fraud, refund fraud, theft/return, buying stolen goods, return fraud, gift card fraud, UPC code switching, coupon fraud, check fraud & counterfeit.


ORC Cases by Merchandise Stolen

Clothing & Electronics Most Targeted

Q1 '19 Top Merchandise:
1. Electronics - 23%
2. Clothing - 21%
3. Tools - 12%		 Q1 '18 Top Merchandise:
1. Electronics - 33%
2. Clothing - 23%
3. Tools - 15%		 *2017 Top Merchandise:
1. Electronics - 30%
2. Clothing - 16%
3. Jewelry - 15%


*The Daily started tracking merchandise in May 2017
**Other includes books, cash, gift cards, fuel, lotto tickets, glasses, food, gold coins, guitars, razor blades, baby formula and toys.
 


ORC Suspect Comparison

Q1 Suspects Male Female Unreported % Male % Female
2014 649 408 241 0 63% 37%
2015 894 480 298 116 62% 38%
2016 762 423 250 89 63% 37%
2017 732 337 201 194 63% 37%
2018 826 463 280 83 62% 38%
2019 776 389 254 133 60% 40%

 


ORC Cases by State

 Pennsylvania & Florida Top 2 States in Q1 2019

Top States in Q1 '19
 1. Pennsylvania (44)
2. Florida (35)
3. California (34)
4. Illinois (24)
5. Texas (22)		 Top States in Q1 '18
 1. California (43)
2. Pennsylvania (32)
3. Illinois (24)
4. NY & Florida (22 each)
5. Ohio (20)		 Top States in Q1 '17
 1. Florida (39)
2. California (28)
3. Pennsylvania (22)
4. New York (22)
5. New Jersey (16) 		Top States in Q1 '16
1. California (36)
2. New York (31)
3. Pennsylvania (29)
4. Florida (28)
5. Texas (26)


 

ORC Cases by City

 Philadelphia & Houston Among Top Cities in Q1 2019
 

Top Cities in Q1 '19
 1. Philadelphia, PA
2. Houston, TX
3. Fresno, CA
4. Myrtle Beach, SC
5. New Orleans, LA		 Top Cities in Q1 '18
 1. Las Vegas, NV
2. Houston, TX
3. Oklahoma City, OK
4. Albuquerque, NM
5. Chicago, IL		 Top Cities in 2017*
 1. Houston, TX & Milburn, NJ
2. Memphis, TN & Columbus, OH
3. Louisville, KY & Lexington, KY
4. Polk County, FL
5. Oklahoma City, OK

*The Daily started tracking city data in May 2017
 


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Methodology: The Daily collects this retail store specific information from public news media sources throughout the United States and reports it daily in our Organized Retail Crime column. We do not survey any retailers or third parties nor collect information from any retail executive. All of this information is available through public news media outlets. We do not claim nor does it represent all such incidents or deaths that may occur in retail locations or retail corporate facilities as many may not be reported in the news media depending on a number of variables outside of our control. We are not responsible for the accuracy of the information reported in the various news media outlets. We do not name any retailer, retail executive, suspect, or victim.

Copyright: We reserve the rights to this industry exclusive report and do not authorize its republication or reproduction without written consent which may include a fee. By re-publishing or reproducing this report or any parts of it without authorization the party agrees to pay a fee determined by the D&D Daily.

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